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Papeletas y sobres electorales en blanco sobre una mesa de madera junto a una urna, en un ambiente institucional sobrio
Papeletas y listas electorales sobre una mesa en la apertura del plazo de candidaturas para las generales del 29 de noviembre. · Imagen generada por EPM

PP places Alvarez de Toledo second on Madrid list

The PP formalized its Madrid list with Feijoo first, Alvarez de Toledo second and Semper third, five and a half weeks before the November 29 general election…

--- The context --- Five and a half weeks remain before the general election on November 29, and the period for parties to present their candidates opened this Wednesday. Pedro Sanchez, Alberto Nunez Feijoo and Santiago Abascal again head the lists of their respective parties, while Ada Colau will stand for the new Broad Front and Irene Montero will lead Podemos. --- The facts --- Polls published between October 9 and October 19 place the PP ahead in almost every survey, followed by the PSOE with a variable gap between them. Vox is consolidating as the third force, while Sumar and the Broad Front on one side and Podemos on the other trail further behind in those studies. The PP formalized its Madrid candidacy with Feijoo first, Cayetana Alvarez de Toledo second and Borja Semper third. Alvarez de Toledo, a Franco-Argentine lawmaker and deputy spokesperson of the Popular Group, ranked sixth on that same candidacy in 2023, while Semper, the party national spokesperson, repeats the third place he already held in 2023. Podemos will not run jointly with Yolanda Diaz's allies except in the Canary Islands and the Valencian Community. --- The positions --- The PSOE and the Broad Front will run together for the Senate, a formula intended to avoid dispersion in that chamber. In response, the PP and Vox are studying an agreement for the Senate with the same aim in their own space. Housing, wages and pensions are at the center of the campaign, with opposing debates about each bloc's proposals. --- What remains unknown --- It remains to be seen whether the PP and Vox finally close their agreement for the Senate and on what terms it would apply in each district. It also remains unclear what effect Podemos running separately will have, and whether the Senate alliance becomes an effective advantage. --- Unanswered questions --- Can the left overcome its fragmentation before November 29? What impact will the alliance between the PSOE and the Broad Front have on the Senate? Will the PP and Vox reach a closed agreement for that chamber? How will the order of the Madrid list influence the final stretch of the Popular campaign? --- EPM analysis --- The Madrid list and the moves around the Senate show a campaign fought on two levels: national leadership and seat totals. Fragmentation on the left contrasts with coordination attempts in the Senate, where every dispersed vote can alter majorities. 📌 EPM Take: In EPM's view, the central news is not only one name in second place, but the full map now taking shape for November 29, with a left divided among several candidacies, a PP leading almost every poll, and a parallel battle for the Senate where alliances can decide seats. Alvarez de Toledo's rise orders the Popular narrative in Madrid, but the final result will also depend on whether the upper chamber agreements materialize and on how voters focused on housing, wages and pensions respond at the ballot box.
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