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Lluvia tropical intensa sobre una calle caribeña con nubes oscuras y pavimento mojado
Imagen alusiva a los aguaceros pronosticados sobre una ciudad caribeña. · Imagen generada para EPM

Saturday downpours and three provinces under weather alert in Dominican Republic

According to Indomet, local downpours, thunder and wind gusts are forecast for several Dominican provinces this Saturday, with Greater Santo Domingo, San Pedro…

--- The context --- According to Indomet, Saturday afternoon will bring local downpours to several provinces in the Dominican Republic, as a result of a trough, daytime heating and the interaction of the wind with the terrain. During the morning, rainy activity near the Caribbean coast will gradually decrease, although atmospheric conditions will continue to favor rainfall of variable intensity during the afternoon. --- The facts --- The rain could fall in localities of El Seibo, La Altagracia, northern San Cristóbal, La Romana, San Pedro de Macorís, Hato Mayor, Monte Plata, Sánchez Ramírez, Monseñor Nouel, La Vega, southern Santiago and northern Azua, as well as the southwestern mountain ranges. According to Indomet, those conditions could extend into the early hours of the night, accompanied by thunder and wind gusts. The agency also reported a non-tropical low-pressure area located hundreds of kilometers south-southeast of Bermuda, with a 10% probability of cyclonic development over the next seven days. However, it clarified that, given its location and expected movement, that system poses no danger to the Dominican Republic. On temperatures, lows will range between 23 °C and 25 °C and highs will sit between 31 °C and 33 °C, with the heat sensation still elevated during the afternoon, although highs will begin to drop gradually. --- The positions --- According to Indomet, the National Forecast Center is maintaining weather alert levels given the risk of urban and rural flooding, as well as possible landslides, due to the rain already recorded and the rain forecast for the next 24 hours. The provinces under alert are Greater Santo Domingo, San Pedro de Macorís and La Romana. Given these conditions, the agency recommended that the population drink enough water, wear light, light-colored clothing, stay in cool, ventilated places and avoid direct sun exposure between 11:00 in the morning and 4:00 in the afternoon. --- What remains unknown --- The available information does not specify rainfall totals or detail whether the alert levels will change during the day. Nor does it indicate how the trough will evolve after Sunday, when, according to Indomet, more isolated rain is expected, with cloud increases during the afternoon due to local effects and the wind. --- Unanswered questions --- Will the alerts for Greater Santo Domingo, San Pedro de Macorís and La Romana remain in place over the next 24 hours? Will Sunday rain be more isolated, as Indomet forecasts? Will the development probability of the low-pressure area near Bermuda change over the next seven days? --- EPM analysis --- The central point of the day is the combination of afternoon downpours and an active alert in populated areas, because the stated risk is not only the afternoon rain, but also the urban and rural flooding and possible landslides linked to the rainfall already recorded. For Sunday, according to Indomet, rainfall could occur in La Altagracia, El Seibo, Hato Mayor, Monte Plata, Sánchez Ramírez, Duarte, Monseñor Nouel, Hermanas Mirabal, Espaillat, Santiago, La Vega, Santiago Rodríguez, San Juan and Elías Piña, among other nearby provinces, with scattered showers and possible thunder. 📌 EPM Take: In EPM's view, this Saturday afternoon calls for concrete caution in the provinces under alert and in the localities expecting downpours, because the risk of flooding and landslides was flagged by the agency itself. The heat also matters, with clear recommendations on hydration and on avoiding the sun between 11:00 and 4:00. The area near Bermuda, according to Indomet, poses no danger to the country, so attention should stay on the nearby rain and on following official updates throughout the day.
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